| Sportsbook | Norway | Draw | Senegal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betovo | 2.28 | 3.58 | 3.15 |
| Zoccer | 2.39 | 3.55 | 3.1 |
| Sports Interaction | 2.35 | 3.58 | 3.05 |
| Tonybet | 2.35 | 3.5 | 3.1 |
| Betway | 2.2 | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| Goals | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Best | 2 | 1.97 |
Norway’s route to this World Cup was built almost entirely around Erling Haaland‘s goal-scoring ability. His movement inside the box, finishing, and ability to hold up play under pressure make him the single most dangerous striker at the tournament. Stale Solbakken has set Norway up in a direct 4-3-3 that gets the ball forward quickly to serve Haaland’s runs. Martin Ødegaard is the creative fulcrum — his close control and passing in tight spaces links midfield to Haaland effectively. Norway will not dominate possession in this game but they do not need to. Two Haaland chances is two goals. Why this matters: the game is almost perfectly priced at ~2.39 and the over 2.5 is the smarter play.
Senegal are Africa’s strongest side at this tournament. Aliou Cissé’s 4-3-3 is physically imposing — Idrissa Gueye and Cheikhou Kouyaté dominate the midfield battle, and Sadio Mané‘s pace and directness on the left causes problems for any right back in the world. Senegal won the Africa Cup of Nations in 2022 precisely because of their defensive resilience and clinical counter-attacking. They will match Norway’s intensity physically and Mané’s one-on-one threat against the Norwegian right back will be a constant source of danger. Senegal have the squad depth and tactical discipline to be competitive in any game. Why this matters: Senegal at 3.10 is strong value — this is a genuinely open game.
Haaland will decide this game. He needs one half-chance and Senegal’s centre-backs — however good — cannot neutralise him for 90 minutes. Ødegaard will pick the pass in behind and Haaland will convert. Mané will punish Norway’s expansive fullback play at some point, keeping Senegal in contention. A tightly contested but high-quality game where Norway edge it. Over 2.5 goals at ~2.00 is the standout market value here.
Cole Gallagher covers soccer betting for WorldCupBetting.ca, specialising in match predictions, odds analysis and tournament futures. Based in Toronto, he has followed the Canadian men’s national team since their 2022 qualifying campaign and brings a line-shopping, data-first approach to every pick.