Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva Prediction: US Open 2026 Quarter-Final (Sept 9)

By Cole Gallagher / September 8, 2026

US Open 2026 · Women’s Singles Quarter-Final · Wednesday, September 9 · USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Flushing Meadows, Queens, NY · Hard Court

🎾 Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreeva 🎾

ANDREEVA

Scheduled first up on Arthur Ashe Stadium, from 11:30am ET.

Coco Gauff is back in the US Open quarter-finals for the first time since she won the thing in 2023, and she has not lost a set doing it. Mirra Andreeva is 19, won Roland Garros this year, and has never been past the fourth round in New York before this week. Two of the three or four best players in the world under the age of 23, on Ashe, in the morning. Compare the books before you back either side in our top betting sites guide.

Odds Comparison

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Total Games (Over/Under)

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Set Betting (Correct Score in Sets)

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Player Analysis

Coco Gauff

The fourth seed has been the most efficient player in the bottom half. Four matches, four straight-sets wins, no set closer than a tiebreak that never came — the third round against Cristina Bucsa was 6-4, 7-6(5) and the fourth round against the 14th seed Iva Jovic was a 6-1, 6-4 dismissal of a fellow American. She won the title in Cincinnati coming into this tournament, so the hard-court form was already established before she arrived.

The context that matters: this is her first US Open quarter-final since the 2023 run that made her a Grand Slam champion at 19. She is 22 now, and she has spoken about this being a match that will “come down to the wire.” She is not treating the seeding gap as decisive, and neither should the market.

Key Storyline: Cincinnati champion, no sets dropped in four matches, back in the US Open last eight for the first time since her 2023 title

Mirra Andreeva

Andreeva is a Grand Slam champion already. She won Roland Garros earlier this year at 19, and that title changes how you read her in a match like this: she has been through the pressure of a major final and come out the other side of it, which is more than most of the players left in this draw can say.

Her week has been solid rather than spectacular. She beat Janice Tjen, Eva Lys and Nikola Bartunkova to reach the second week, then had her first real test against the 24th seed Anastasia Potapova and came through it 5-7, 6-4, 6-3 after losing the opening set. That is a useful data point in both directions — she got broken down early and she reset. It is also her deepest run at this tournament, which means she is in unfamiliar territory in a way Gauff is not.

Key Storyline: Reigning French Open champion, into her first US Open quarter-final at 19, after coming from a set down in the fourth round

Key Betting Angles

The head-to-head is the number that should shape the price. Gauff has won all five of their previous meetings, including on this court in 2023 and on clay in Madrid last year. Five straight is a meaningful sample between two players who have grown up on tour together, and it suggests a genuine stylistic edge rather than a run of good scheduling: Gauff’s movement and depth off the forehand ask Andreeva to generate her own pace, and that is the part of Andreeva’s game that is still developing.

What complicates it is that most of those five meetings predate Andreeva’s French Open title. She is a different, more finished player than the one who lost most of them. If you think the record is stale, this is the match to say so — but say it through the set handicap rather than the outright, because the market has almost certainly priced the 5-0 in.

On total games, both women have played short matches this fortnight and both are capable of running away with a set. The over is the position if you believe the head-to-head is closer than the numbers suggest; the straight-sets Gauff line is the position if you believe it is not.

Our Prediction

Cole’s Pick: Coco Gauff to win in three sets

The record, the hard-court form and the crowd are all on Gauff’s side, and she has been the cleaner player of the two this week. Back her to reach the semi-finals. But we are taking the three-set route rather than straights: Andreeva is a major champion who has already shown this week that she can lose a set and reorganise, and Gauff herself has flagged this as a match that goes to the wire. Over on total games is the supporting position.

Confidence: medium-high on the match winner, medium on the three-set scoreline

Best Bets

Top Pick

Gauff Match Winner

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Value Bet

Andreeva +1.5 Set Handicap

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Longshot

Over the Total Games Line

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