| Sportsbook | USA | Draw | Paraguay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sports Interaction | 2.05 | 3.62 | 4.28 |
| Betovo | 2.03 | 3.6 | 4.26 |
| Bet365 | 2.08 | 3.65 | 4.3 |
| Tonybet | 2.06 | 3.63 | 4.27 |
| Betway | 2.04 | 3.61 | 4.25 |
| Goals Market | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Best Available | 2.3 | 1.65 |
| BTTS Market | BTTS Yes | BTTS No |
|---|---|---|
| Best Available | 2.05 | 1.78 |
The United States open Group D against Paraguay on June 13 at AT&T Stadium in Dallas. A co-host nation with a young, ambitious squad against a physical South American side who qualified comfortably through CONMEBOL. Here is the full world cup betting breakdown: odds, predicted lineups and our best bet.
Christian Pulisic leads a USMNT that has been building toward this moment since the 2022 Qatar campaign. Gio Reyna is fit and will feature from the start. Yunus Musah provides the legs in midfield, Tyler Adams the discipline. AT&T Stadium in Dallas is a natural home crowd for this team and the noise will be significant.
Team news: Sergino Dest is available after a hamstring scare. Tyler Adams is fit to start.
Paraguay qualified through CONMEBOL, which is never easy. Miguel Almiron is the X-factor: CONMEBOL’s player of the qualifying campaign, decisive in both direct play and pressing. Their shape is flexible, 4-4-2 or 4-2-3-1 depending on the game state. They will not be passive.
Team news: Junior Alonso is suspended for this opener after a red card in the final qualifying fixture.
USA home advantage: The USA have lost only two competitive home matches in the last four years. Dallas was a stronghold during qualifying. The crowd and familiarity with the surface matters.
Paraguay’s Almiron factor: Miguel Almiron has scored or assisted in seven of Paraguay’s last nine competitive matches. He plays between the lines and is difficult to track. If he finds space against the USA’s midfield, Paraguay can threaten.
USA pressing intensity: USA ranked second in CONCACAF qualifying for pressing actions per 90 minutes. Against Paraguay’s slower build-up, that pressing will cause turnovers in dangerous areas.
USA win in a game that is more competitive than the market suggests. The 2.08 price on the hosts is fair, not generous. Paraguay are a real team.
Pulisic’s pace and Reyna’s creativity will cause Paraguay problems. But Almiron’s ability to exploit space on the counter means USA need to stay disciplined defensively. Expect a goal at each end.
Both teams to score at 1.88 makes sense given the likely game flow. The USA’s home advantage tips the result in their favour over 90 minutes.
Cole Gallagher covers soccer betting for WorldCupBetting.ca, specialising in match predictions, odds analysis and tournament futures. Based in Toronto, he has followed the Canadian men’s national team since their 2022 qualifying campaign and brings a line-shopping, data-first approach to every pick.